Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Duchene 52.8% (-6.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 67.4%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 78.1%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 54.9%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Rodrigues
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
46.9% (162)
+0.3%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
73.2% (56)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
100.0% (2)
-57.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +57.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Rodrigues shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Duchene
Home
49.8% (215)
58.4% (125)
Away
44.4% (171)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Rodrigues
Duchene
P1
44.2%
56.9%
P2
53.5%
52.5%
P3
44.6%
51.9%
OT
40.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%