Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Duchene 52.1% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 68.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 67.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Rodrigues
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rodrigues
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
53.0% (723)
-7.4%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
49.5% (101)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.8% (16)
+6.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Duchene
Home
46.5% (142)
54.9% (408)
Away
43.6% (140)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Rodrigues
Duchene
P1
42.9%
52.5%
P2
50.0%
51.7%
P3
42.4%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |