Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 50.0% vs Duchene 55.6% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 59.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 69.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 63.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Rodrigues
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (41)
56.5% (566)
-5.3%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
61.3% (62)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
22.2% (9)
+27.8%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Rodrigues shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Duchene
Home
45.8% (24)
56.6% (318)
Away
52.9% (34)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Rodrigues
Duchene
P1
38.1%
57.2%
P2
52.6%
55.1%
P3
61.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%