Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Malkin wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.9% vs Staal 58.4% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 83.5%
Defensive zone
Malkin 73.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 86.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Malkin
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Malkin
Staal
Last 7: Malkin 0-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Malkin
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Malkin
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
5
Malkin
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (827)
59.1% (888)
-16.4%
Power Play
63.2% (19)
66.9% (121)
-3.7%
On even strength, Staal has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Malkin is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Malkin shoots left. Staal is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Malkin
Staal
Home
45.1% (426)
61.2% (600)
Away
41.2% (420)
56.9% (566)
By Period
Malkin
Staal
P1
41.3%
57.5%
P2
44.0%
60.1%
P3
44.7%
59.1%
OT
25.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 14:51 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |