Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 52 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Staal 55.3% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 84-81 in 165 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 60.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Malkin
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
84
-
81
(165 meetings)
84
81
Malkin
Staal
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
37
15
Malkin
Staal
52 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
14
35
Malkin
Staal
49 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
33
31
Malkin
Staal
64 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
55.9% (14,620)
-10.3%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
62.7% (1,745)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
48.0% (2,896)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Malkin
Staal
Home
47.6% (5,395)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Malkin
Staal
P1
45.9%
55.2%
P2
46.2%
55.9%
P3
45.2%
54.9%
OT
49.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
46.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:47 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |