Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Malkin wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Staal 56.8% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 84.6%
Defensive zone
Malkin 71.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 81.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Malkin
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Malkin
Staal
Last 9: Malkin 2-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Malkin
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
5
Malkin
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
58.9% (1,041)
-14.9%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
53.4% (73)
-23.4%
On power play, Staal has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Malkin shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Malkin
Staal
Home
45.5% (202)
59.0% (578)
Away
41.4% (174)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Malkin
Staal
P1
48.4%
57.1%
P2
41.7%
60.9%
P3
40.4%
55.8%
OT
50.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
42.7%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 04:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:09 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |