Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Staal 57.6% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 94.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 79.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Malkin
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Malkin
Staal
Last 10: Malkin 7-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
6
3
Malkin
Staal
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
4
Malkin
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
2
Malkin
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
58.9% (1,096)
-11.0%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
68.4% (57)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.8% (222)
+48.2%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Malkin
Staal
Home
49.6% (405)
57.0% (646)
Away
47.5% (396)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Malkin
Staal
P1
49.6%
55.9%
P2
47.2%
55.4%
P3
48.5%
62.0%
OT
100.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.6%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |