Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 72.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 86.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Malkin
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Malkin
Staal
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
9
0
Malkin
Staal
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
5
Malkin
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Malkin
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
56.3% (1,115)
-7.3%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
61.2% (67)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
52.1% (292)
-2.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Malkin
Staal
Home
52.3% (438)
58.3% (705)
Away
46.2% (418)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Malkin
Staal
P1
51.3%
54.5%
P2
50.8%
58.2%
P3
45.0%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |