Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Staal 54.2% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 86.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Malkin
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Malkin
Staal
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
2
Malkin
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
5
Malkin
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
3
Malkin
Staal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
57.0% (1,017)
-11.5%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
57.7% (26)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.1% (286)
+54.9%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +54.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Malkin
Staal
Home
47.5% (326)
54.3% (667)
Away
44.0% (307)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Malkin
Staal
P1
49.3%
56.2%
P2
44.7%
57.0%
P3
42.3%
49.7%
OT
66.7%
68.4%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:47 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 03:20 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |