Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Staal 54.6% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 52.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 89.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Malkin
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Malkin
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Malkin
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
56.1% (955)
-10.4%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
66.9% (142)
-32.3%
On power play, Staal has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Malkin
Staal
Home
50.4% (113)
55.4% (663)
Away
39.4% (132)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Malkin
Staal
P1
47.7%
55.1%
P2
44.9%
54.7%
P3
40.0%
53.9%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |