Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Aho 52.2% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 74.5%
Defensive zone
Aho 75.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 72.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Malkin
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Malkin
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
51.6% (819)
-7.6%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
58.4% (173)
-28.4%
On power play, Aho has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Malkin shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Malkin
Aho
Home
45.5% (202)
53.9% (568)
Away
41.4% (174)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Malkin
Aho
P1
48.4%
55.4%
P2
41.7%
51.2%
P3
40.4%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
42.7%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | OT | 01:18 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |