Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Aho 53.8% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.7%
Defensive zone
Malkin 63.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 66.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Malkin
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Malkin
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Malkin
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
51.2% (785)
-3.3%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
63.8% (213)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
57.9% (57)
+42.1%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Malkin
Aho
Home
49.6% (405)
54.9% (548)
Away
47.5% (396)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Malkin
Aho
P1
49.6%
52.8%
P2
47.2%
58.9%
P3
48.5%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |