Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Aho 51.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 52.0%
Defensive zone
Aho 65.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 54.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Malkin
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
48.5% (778)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
63.4% (191)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.8% (65)
-0.8%
On power play, Aho has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Malkin
Aho
Home
52.3% (438)
51.3% (530)
Away
46.2% (418)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Malkin
Aho
P1
51.3%
50.0%
P2
50.8%
51.3%
P3
45.0%
52.1%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |