Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Aho 54.9% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 69.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 70.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 65.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Malkin
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Malkin
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
54.5% (870)
-9.0%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
62.4% (266)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
37.1% (62)
+62.9%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +62.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Malkin
Aho
Home
47.5% (326)
53.9% (603)
Away
44.0% (307)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Malkin
Aho
P1
49.3%
54.1%
P2
44.7%
55.0%
P3
42.3%
57.4%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |