Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Aho 50.0% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 53.2%
Defensive zone
Aho 56.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 54.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Malkin
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
49.9% (851)
-4.2%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
53.5% (144)
-18.9%
On power play, Aho has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Malkin
Aho
Home
50.4% (113)
53.2% (554)
Away
39.4% (132)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Malkin
Aho
P1
47.7%
49.1%
P2
44.9%
50.8%
P3
40.0%
49.7%
OT
100.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
35.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%