Scouting Report
Frank Vatrano holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vatrano 49.6% vs Hughes 38.0% (+13.4%)
Offensive zone
Vatrano 52.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 72.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Vatrano
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vatrano
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (25)
34.5% (342)
+13.5%
On even strength, Vatrano has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Vatrano is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Vatrano shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Vatrano
Hughes
Home
50.0% (14)
32.6% (187)
Away
45.5% (11)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Vatrano
Hughes
P1
66.7%
33.9%
P2
50.0%
34.2%
P3
25.0%
36.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
48.0%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%