Scouting Report
Frank Vatrano holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vatrano 48.7% vs Hughes 37.9% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 61.4%
Defensive zone
Hughes 52.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 59.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Vatrano
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vatrano
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (14)
34.9% (444)
+15.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.0% (14)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
On power play, Hughes has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Vatrano is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Vatrano shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Vatrano
Hughes
Home
37.5% (8)
37.4% (235)
Away
44.4% (9)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Vatrano
Hughes
P1
28.6%
37.1%
P2
33.3%
33.7%
P3
100.0%
34.8%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
25.0%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
41.2%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%