Scouting Report
Frank Vatrano holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Vatrano wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vatrano 41.6% vs Hughes 36.6% (+2.0%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 55.3%
Defensive zone
Hughes 59.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Vatrano
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vatrano
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (209)
36.0% (2,887)
+2.3%
Power Play
29.4% (17)
38.8% (224)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
31.0% (42)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Vatrano has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Vatrano is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Vatrano shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Home / Away
Vatrano
Hughes
Home
37.1% (116)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
39.1% (128)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Vatrano
Hughes
P1
37.8%
36.9%
P2
33.3%
33.6%
P3
43.0%
38.1%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
38.9%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
38.1%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%