Frank Vatrano vs Jack Hughes

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Frank Vatrano holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Vatrano 49.1% vs Hughes 39.8% (+6.7%)
Offensive zone Hughes 53.4%
Defensive zone Vatrano 60.8%
Neutral zone Hughes 56.7%
Result Frank Vatrano favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Vatrano Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Vatrano
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (13)
36.8% (266)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (6)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Vatrano has a +66.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Vatrano is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Vatrano shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Vatrano
Hughes
Home
40.0% (5)
35.1% (148)
Away
44.4% (9)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Vatrano
Hughes
P1
33.3%
43.0%
P2
66.7%
28.7%
P3
0.0%
35.2%
Final 5 min
75.0%
28.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vatrano
44.0%
37.5%
42.9%
Hughes
38.0%
36.0%
36.2%