Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vatrano 46.5% vs Hughes 40.3% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 74.3%
Defensive zone
Vatrano 61.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Vatrano
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vatrano
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
31.3% (16)
35.6% (281)
-4.3%
On even strength, Hughes has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Vatrano is 29.4% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Vatrano shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Vatrano
Hughes
Home
26.7% (15)
38.4% (198)
Away
41.7% (12)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Vatrano
Hughes
P1
16.7%
44.3%
P2
20.0%
34.2%
P3
54.5%
34.0%
Final 5 min
25.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
33.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%