Scouting Report
Frank Vatrano holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vatrano 49.3% vs Hughes 39.2% (+9.5%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 52.5%
Defensive zone
Vatrano 54.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 53.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Vatrano
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vatrano
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (33)
37.9% (623)
+10.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
33.3% (33)
-33.3%
On power play, Hughes has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Vatrano is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Vatrano shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Vatrano
Hughes
Home
45.0% (20)
36.6% (314)
Away
50.0% (14)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Vatrano
Hughes
P1
55.6%
36.4%
P2
20.0%
35.6%
P3
57.1%
41.8%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
47.1%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%