Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.0% vs Sturm 52.5% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundeström 56.3%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 51.6%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 52.3%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Lundeström
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lundeström
Sturm
Last 5: Lundeström 2-3 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Lundeström
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lundeström
Sturm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (785)
54.0% (480)
-8.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
28.6% (7)
+27.0%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (85)
50.0% (102)
-13.5%
On power play, Lundeström has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Lundeström is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Lundeström shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Sturm
Home
45.8% (428)
54.0% (287)
Away
43.2% (451)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Lundeström
Sturm
P1
48.6%
53.5%
P2
46.5%
51.0%
P3
37.8%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |