Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +22.4% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.6% vs Sturm 57.1% (-22.4%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 75.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 81.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.0%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Barbashev
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
62.1% (356)
-22.8%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
75.0% (4)
-55.0%
On power play, Sturm has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Barbashev is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Barbashev shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Sturm
Home
35.3% (17)
61.8% (191)
Away
37.5% (16)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Barbashev
Sturm
P1
14.3%
58.0%
P2
61.5%
57.9%
P3
33.3%
60.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
36.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%