Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Miller wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Tavares 59.8% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 65.4%
Defensive zone
Miller 72.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Miller
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Miller
Tavares
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
5
Miller
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
5
4
Miller
Tavares
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
60.9% (1,043)
-5.4%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
60.4% (278)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
47.6% (21)
-1.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Miller shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Miller
Tavares
Home
53.5% (578)
63.5% (684)
Away
54.7% (655)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Miller
Tavares
P1
58.3%
60.3%
P2
53.5%
60.4%
P3
50.1%
60.1%
OT
70.6%
92.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |