Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.3% vs 58.3%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Tavares 57.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 57.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 53.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 59.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Miller
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Miller
Tavares
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
6
Miller
Tavares
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
57.7% (998)
+0.5%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
60.5% (271)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
56.4% (39)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Miller
Tavares
Home
59.1% (558)
59.7% (610)
Away
57.3% (520)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Miller
Tavares
P1
60.7%
57.2%
P2
57.5%
58.5%
P3
56.1%
59.4%
OT
73.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
60.8%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |