Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Tavares 58.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 73.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 57.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Miller
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Miller
Tavares
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
5
Miller
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
5
1
Miller
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
59.2% (1,035)
-2.9%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
60.0% (310)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
42.9% (7)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Miller
Tavares
Home
58.6% (734)
57.5% (668)
Away
54.1% (727)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Miller
Tavares
P1
57.1%
58.0%
P2
57.0%
60.1%
P3
54.7%
61.0%
OT
62.5%
27.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:59 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:22 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |