Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.6% vs Tavares 57.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 64.6%
Defensive zone
Miller 52.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Miller
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Miller
Tavares
Last 7: Miller 3-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Miller
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Miller
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
58.0% (914)
+3.5%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
57.0% (235)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
57.9% (19)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Miller is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Miller shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Miller
Tavares
Home
62.1% (372)
57.8% (614)
Away
59.7% (355)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Miller
Tavares
P1
58.9%
58.0%
P2
63.9%
56.9%
P3
59.8%
58.4%
OT
60.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
63.6%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |