Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.4%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 46 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 59-54 in 113 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 55.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 57.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Miller
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
59
-
54
(113 meetings)
59
54
Miller
Tavares
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
19
27
Miller
Tavares
46 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
23
18
Miller
Tavares
41 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
17
9
Miller
Tavares
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
54.0% (16,108)
+1.2%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
56.5% (4,283)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
50.6% (620)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Miller
Tavares
Home
55.9% (4,578)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Miller
Tavares
P1
54.7%
55.0%
P2
55.6%
54.1%
P3
54.0%
54.1%
OT
62.3%
55.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |