J.T. Miller vs Nathan MacKinnon

2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

J.T. Miller holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Miller 53.8% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+8.7%)
H2H factor MacKinnon leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone MacKinnon 60.9%
Defensive zone MacKinnon 56.4%
Neutral zone MacKinnon 57.7%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Miller MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 7 (12 meetings)
5
7
Miller MacKinnon
Last 10: Miller 4-6 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Miller MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Miller MacKinnon
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Miller
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
45.8% (755)
+9.7%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
48.3% (60)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
27.6% (29)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +18.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Miller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Miller shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Miller
MacKinnon
Home
53.5% (578)
49.5% (396)
Away
54.7% (655)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Miller
MacKinnon
P1
58.3%
50.2%
P2
53.5%
43.8%
P3
50.1%
41.4%
OT
70.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
41.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%
61.5%
54.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
45.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 23, 2022 3 16:12 Offensive J.T. Miller
Mar 23, 2022 3 10:16 Neutral J.T. Miller
Mar 23, 2022 3 00:00 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 23, 2022 2 17:51 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 23, 2022 2 08:32 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 23, 2022 2 03:14 Defensive J.T. Miller
Mar 23, 2022 2 03:04 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 23, 2022 2 00:00 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 23, 2022 1 18:42 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 23, 2022 1 14:42 Neutral J.T. Miller
Mar 23, 2022 1 12:02 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 23, 2022 1 00:00 Neutral J.T. Miller