J.T. Miller vs Nathan MacKinnon

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

J.T. Miller holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Miller wins 61.4% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Miller 55.9% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+10.1%)
H2H factor Miller leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone Miller 92.3%
Defensive zone Miller 92.4%
Neutral zone Miller 92.5%
Result J.T. Miller favored at 92.4%
92.4%
7.6%
Miller MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
14 - 7 (21 meetings)
14
7
Miller MacKinnon
Last 10: Miller 6-4 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
0
Miller MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Miller MacKinnon
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
7
3
Miller MacKinnon
10 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Miller
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
45.5% (1,190)
+10.8%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
56.4% (94)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
40.0% (30)
+7.4%
On even strength, Miller has a +10.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Miller is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Miller shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Miller
MacKinnon
Home
58.6% (734)
47.8% (670)
Away
54.1% (727)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Miller
MacKinnon
P1
57.1%
45.3%
P2
57.0%
48.5%
P3
54.7%
45.0%
OT
62.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%
61.5%
56.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
46.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 13, 2024 3 17:56 Neutral J.T. Miller
Mar 13, 2024 3 08:43 Neutral J.T. Miller
Mar 13, 2024 3 06:21 Defensive J.T. Miller
Mar 13, 2024 3 00:00 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 13, 2024 2 19:57 Neutral J.T. Miller
Mar 13, 2024 2 13:12 Defensive J.T. Miller
Mar 13, 2024 2 06:35 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 13, 2024 1 14:07 Neutral J.T. Miller
Mar 13, 2024 1 05:32 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 13, 2024 1 02:44 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 20, 2024 3 12:12 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 20, 2024 3 09:44 Defensive J.T. Miller
Feb 20, 2024 3 02:51 Offensive J.T. Miller
Feb 20, 2024 3 00:00 Neutral J.T. Miller
Feb 20, 2024 2 00:10 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 20, 2024 1 10:30 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 22, 2023 3 16:03 Offensive J.T. Miller
Nov 22, 2023 3 04:45 Neutral J.T. Miller
Nov 22, 2023 3 00:28 Defensive J.T. Miller
Nov 22, 2023 2 06:09 Offensive J.T. Miller