J.T. Miller vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 31 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 40-26 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 89.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 88.5%
Neutral zone
Miller 90.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 89.7%
89.7%
10.3%
Miller
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
26
(66 meetings)
40
26
Miller
MacKinnon
Last 10: Miller 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
9
7
Miller
MacKinnon
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
11
8
Miller
MacKinnon
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
20
11
Miller
MacKinnon
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
46.1% (11,218)
+9.1%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
53.3% (1,412)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
42.8% (502)
+5.4%
On even strength, Miller has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Miller
MacKinnon
Home
55.9% (4,578)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Miller
MacKinnon
P1
54.7%
47.4%
P2
55.6%
46.6%
P3
54.0%
46.1%
OT
62.3%
48.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:57 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |