Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+10.6%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 59.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 59.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Miller
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
44.7% (1,053)
+11.0%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
36.8% (95)
+24.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
65.0% (20)
-17.8%
On power play, Miller has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Miller is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Miller shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Miller
MacKinnon
Home
56.1% (440)
49.4% (553)
Away
53.8% (446)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Miller
MacKinnon
P1
52.3%
45.3%
P2
54.7%
42.7%
P3
57.2%
45.1%
OT
66.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%