Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 49.5% vs Dowd 51.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 73.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Miller
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Miller
Dowd
Last 5: Miller 2-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Miller
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (357)
51.2% (381)
-3.3%
Power Play
53.7% (162)
100.0% (2)
-46.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
53.9% (89)
-33.9%
On power play, Dowd has a +46.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Miller is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Miller shoots left. Dowd is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Miller
Dowd
Home
53.0% (281)
54.6% (218)
Away
45.3% (243)
49.6% (254)
By Period
Miller
Dowd
P1
49.4%
50.6%
P2
53.3%
55.1%
P3
45.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
49.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |