Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.7%). Miller wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Dowd 53.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 74.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.3%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Miller
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Miller
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Miller
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
55.4% (771)
+0.1%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
57.1% (7)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
45.5% (165)
+0.3%
On power play, Miller has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Miller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Miller shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Miller
Dowd
Home
53.5% (578)
58.2% (462)
Away
54.7% (655)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Miller
Dowd
P1
58.3%
55.6%
P2
53.5%
50.5%
P3
50.1%
53.9%
OT
70.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |