Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.6% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 76.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 71.8%
Neutral zone
Miller 73.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Miller
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Miller
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
55.4% (826)
+6.1%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
57.9% (221)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
50.4% (129)
-2.7%
On power play, Miller has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Miller is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Miller shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Miller
O'Reilly
Home
62.1% (372)
55.8% (579)
Away
59.7% (355)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Miller
O'Reilly
P1
58.9%
57.7%
P2
63.9%
54.8%
P3
59.8%
54.3%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.6%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |