Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 40.2% vs MacKinnon 50.5% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 73.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 80.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 74.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 75.6%
24.4%
75.6%
Eichel
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Eichel
MacKinnon
Last 8: Eichel 5-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Eichel
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
0
Eichel
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (769)
49.3% (1,167)
-10.8%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
61.0% (187)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
47.9% (167)
-6.2%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Eichel is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Eichel shoots right. MacKinnon is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Eichel
MacKinnon
Home
41.2% (417)
57.7% (728)
Away
36.4% (379)
44.0% (793)
By Period
Eichel
MacKinnon
P1
41.1%
50.1%
P2
39.9%
52.5%
P3
34.5%
49.3%
OT
55.6%
43.8%
Final 5 min
37.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
38.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 02:06 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |