Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Eichel wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.9% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 75.1%
Defensive zone
Eichel 51.7%
Neutral zone
Eichel 63.9%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Eichel
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Eichel
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (317)
45.8% (755)
+0.6%
Power Play
59.6% (57)
48.3% (60)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
27.6% (29)
+32.4%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Eichel is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Eichel shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Eichel
MacKinnon
Home
46.2% (169)
49.5% (396)
Away
50.5% (210)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Eichel
MacKinnon
P1
39.8%
50.2%
P2
49.6%
43.8%
P3
56.2%
41.4%
OT
28.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.5%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |