Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Evans 49.8% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 86.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 68.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 61.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Hughes
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hughes
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
3
Hughes
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
51.3% (739)
-16.8%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
53.3% (15)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
43.0% (172)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Hughes shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Hughes
Evans
Home
32.6% (187)
52.1% (503)
Away
36.7% (166)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Hughes
Evans
P1
33.9%
50.5%
P2
34.2%
47.7%
P3
36.5%
51.3%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
29.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Jake Evans |