Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 41.9% vs Carrick 49.5% (-15.4%)
Offensive zone
McBain 50.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 54.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 58.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
McBain
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (86)
48.9% (352)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
42.2% (45)
-24.6%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. McBain is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (44).
McBain shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
McBain
Carrick
Home
33.8% (68)
46.9% (192)
Away
34.3% (35)
51.6% (221)
By Period
McBain
Carrick
P1
40.6%
48.1%
P2
40.5%
50.0%
P3
20.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
35.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
34.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%