Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Carrick 53.0% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 63.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 72.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.2%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
McBain
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McBain
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
McBain
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
53.9% (521)
-7.6%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
57.1% (35)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
51.5% (229)
-13.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. McBain is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
McBain shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
McBain
Carrick
Home
50.6% (330)
52.7% (408)
Away
39.7% (320)
54.1% (377)
By Period
McBain
Carrick
P1
45.4%
51.4%
P2
44.5%
56.6%
P3
45.7%
52.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |