Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Carrick 53.7% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 63.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 78.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 69.8%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
McBain
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McBain
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
53.8% (654)
-2.6%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
0.0% (2)
+46.2%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
63.9% (36)
-36.6%
On power play, McBain has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. McBain is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (143).
McBain shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
McBain
Carrick
Home
53.6% (235)
50.0% (328)
Away
46.0% (224)
58.0% (364)
By Period
McBain
Carrick
P1
48.6%
56.7%
P2
50.9%
51.1%
P3
50.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
55.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Jack McBain |