Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Dowd 53.3% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 95.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 67.8%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 75.9%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Roslovic
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Roslovic
Dowd
Last 5: Roslovic 1-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Roslovic
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Roslovic
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
55.4% (771)
-12.5%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
57.1% (7)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
45.5% (165)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Roslovic is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Roslovic shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Dowd
Home
41.6% (442)
58.2% (462)
Away
45.5% (413)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Roslovic
Dowd
P1
44.9%
55.6%
P2
43.8%
50.5%
P3
41.8%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |