Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 51.7% vs Dowd 49.1% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 80.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 88.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 61.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Roslovic
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Roslovic
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Roslovic
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (204)
51.7% (644)
+0.8%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
0.0% (2)
+52.9%
On power play, Roslovic has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Roslovic is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Roslovic shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Dowd
Home
49.6% (119)
48.6% (451)
Away
55.9% (102)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Roslovic
Dowd
P1
53.2%
49.1%
P2
53.2%
47.3%
P3
51.9%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
30.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |