Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.5% vs Dowd 50.7% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 93.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.9%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Roslovic
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Roslovic
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
0
Roslovic
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Roslovic
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (729)
55.2% (625)
-9.4%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
57.1% (7)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (55)
38.2% (220)
+0.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Roslovic shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Dowd
Home
45.4% (447)
53.7% (445)
Away
44.6% (442)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Roslovic
Dowd
P1
43.2%
48.8%
P2
44.7%
49.3%
P3
47.2%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |