Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 46.0% vs Dowd 48.3% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 89.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.9%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Roslovic
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (106)
49.2% (778)
-4.9%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
58.3% (12)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
44.0% (234)
-29.7%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Roslovic is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Roslovic shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Dowd
Home
36.9% (65)
46.3% (492)
Away
49.2% (61)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Roslovic
Dowd
P1
32.1%
49.1%
P2
50.0%
48.2%
P3
46.2%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.6%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
52.0%▬
51.0%
42.9%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.1%