Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Dowd 50.7% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 96.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 68.3%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 77.8%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Roslovic
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Roslovic
Dowd
Last 10: Roslovic 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
9
0
Roslovic
Dowd
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
10
Roslovic
Dowd
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
7
Roslovic
Dowd
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (2,997)
52.4% (6,009)
-7.5%
Power Play
48.1% (339)
56.1% (164)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
44.1% (1,635)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,065).
Roslovic shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Dowd
Home
44.0% (1,737)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
45.8% (1,704)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Roslovic
Dowd
P1
45.5%
51.7%
P2
44.6%
50.4%
P3
44.9%
50.3%
OT
31.8%
45.9%
Final 5 min
44.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |