Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Roslovic wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 53.2% vs Dowd 49.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 92.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 75.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 62.5%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Roslovic
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Roslovic
Dowd
Last 8: Roslovic 5-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
6
0
Roslovic
Dowd
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Roslovic
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
3
Roslovic
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (299)
52.2% (835)
+3.0%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
60.0% (10)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.0% (350)
-44.0%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Roslovic is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Roslovic shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Dowd
Home
54.0% (200)
51.5% (619)
Away
54.2% (155)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Roslovic
Dowd
P1
57.0%
51.7%
P2
54.3%
51.6%
P3
50.9%
47.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
54.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |