Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 53.9% vs Bjugstad 49.9% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 62.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 73.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Evans
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (349)
50.9% (212)
+2.7%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
40.0% (5)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (161)
44.1% (34)
+11.8%
On power play, Evans has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Evans is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (134).
Evans shoots right. Bjugstad is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Evans
Bjugstad
Home
54.1% (290)
52.3% (151)
Away
55.2% (230)
46.0% (100)
By Period
Evans
Bjugstad
P1
60.1%
44.9%
P2
53.5%
56.8%
P3
50.3%
48.3%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
54.6%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.8%