Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 57.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 59.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Evans
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
55.9% (245)
-4.6%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
0.0% (3)
+53.3%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
57.1% (7)
-14.1%
On power play, Evans has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Evans shoots right. Bjugstad is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Evans
Bjugstad
Home
52.1% (503)
53.2% (111)
Away
47.0% (423)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Evans
Bjugstad
P1
50.5%
44.6%
P2
47.7%
61.4%
P3
51.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%