Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 80.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 63.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 60.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Evans
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Evans
Bjugstad
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
1
Evans
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
3
Evans
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
3
Evans
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
48.6% (6,634)
+5.2%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
55.2% (829)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
44.3% (614)
+2.8%
On even strength, Evans has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Evans shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Home / Away
Evans
Bjugstad
Home
53.4% (2,593)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Evans
Bjugstad
P1
54.0%
49.0%
P2
50.9%
49.1%
P3
52.0%
48.4%
OT
46.5%
61.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:30 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |